Bracket Watch: Saturday Updates

Dylan Burkhardt
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Michigan 56, Ohio State 51- 2Selection Sunday is tomorrow and bracket projections are far from solidified. Conference tournaments and major upsets continue while the bracketing picture seems to get cloudier by the hour rather than sharpening.

There’s been plenty of action are the 3-4 seed lines in the last two days. Michigan escaped against Minnesota. Wisconsin beat Indiana. Georgetown and Marquette dropped Big East tournament games. Baylor beat Kansas. The question that everyone wants to know: what does it all mean for Michigan tomorrow evening? Where do the experts have Michigan seeded in the latest brackets and where are the Wolverines slated to travel?

After the jump find the latest updates bracket projections, nitty gritty statistics and storylines. (Photo: Dustin Johnston)

Nitty Gritty:

  • Record: 23-8 (13-5 Big Ten) [All records are Division 1 Only]
  • RPI: 10
  • SOS: 16
  • Home Record: 14-1
  • Away Record: 6-6
  • Neutral Record: 3-1
  • vs. RPI Top 50: 7-5
  • vs. RPI Top 100: 13-6

Bracketology Rundown:

  • Lunardi/ESPN: East Regional: 3 seed vs. Akron (Columbus), 3rd round vs. winner of Temple/VCU
  • Glockner/SI:  South Regional: 3 seed vs. Belmont (Louisville), 3rd round vs. winner of Cincinnati/Virginia
  • Jerry Palm/CBS: East Regional: 3 seed vs. Akron (Louisville), 3rd round vs. winner of Wichita State/BYU
  • Crashing the Dance: 3 seed
  • Bracket Matrix: 3 seed
In short, Michigan is a solid 3 seed. Anything can happen but it appears the Wolverines will avoid being sent west in the opening rounds and are most likely to end up in the East (Boston) or South (Atlanta) regionals.

Ranking the Big Ten

Michigan State, Ohio State, Michigan, Wisconsin and Indiana are all top 15 teams and fighting for a protected NCAA tournament seed. With all five teams so narrowly differentiated, someone is going to slip and end up with a disappointing seed and region combination. Michigan State and Ohio State are a cut above but Michigan, who is probably a hair above Wisconsin and Indiana. However, the later three are all projected as a three seed in at least one recent bracket projection and could be in for an interesting Sunday.

Indiana didn’t do itself any favors by losing to Wisconsin on Friday, but the Hoosiers still have four top 10 RPI wins and a resume that speaks for itself. Does Wisconsin jump Indiana and stay in a Midwestern pod, shipping Indiana west to Portland or Albuquerque? Or does Indiana hold on and stay close to home?

Most bracketologists have Michigan in Louisville, a manageable site for the Wolverines, but there’s still a chance that another win or two in the Big Ten Tournament could pull Michigan even closer to home – perhaps a Columbus pod with Michigan State – to open the Big Dance next weekend.

Baylor Beats Kansas: No. 1 Seed on the Table?

Baylor upset Kansas in the Big 12 tournament semifinals which solidifies Baylor as a No. 3 seed (likely headed to Albuquerque) but also leaves at least a sliver of hope for Michigan State or Ohio State to lay claim on a No. 1 seed. Would a Big Ten Tournament victory for either of Michigan’s rivals be enough to earn a No. 1 seed? Jerry Palm thinks so and has the Buckeyes projected as a  No. 1 seed in his latest bracket. If anything it should provide at least a little more motivation for both the Spartans and Buckeyes on semifinal Saturday in Indianapolis.

  • ZRL

    I’m pretty sure the committee doesn’t take the BTT finals into account because it happens too late in the day. Also, if we beat OSU today I think we could leap ahead of OSU on the S-curve and get the last 2 seed. We’d have 1 more total loss but also 1 more big ten win than OSU.

    • Guest

      They have two brackets to take account into the BTT finals. If Michigan plays MSU in the final, they have Michigan at 3 seed if they lose and Michigan at 2 seed if they win.  Likewise, MSU at 1 seed if they win and 2 seed if they lose.  As soon as they hear the result of Big Ten tournament, they will pick one of the two brackets.

      What if a team like Minnesota makes the final but needs to win to get into NCAA(Loss would put them to NIT or no postseason)?  They need to take account to the result of the BTT.

      • jemblue

        That sounds about right, although I don’t think MSU can get a #1 seed at this point.

        • Guest

           If MSU wins BTT, they have a real good shot of getting #1 seed. They will have two RPI top 50 wins to add to their resume.

    • rlcBlue

      The committee doesn’t reserve certain seedings for “X conference champion” – for instance, Syracuse’s #1 seed isn’t going to the Louisville-Cincinnati winner just for being the MCC – er, Big East – tourney champ. But this year’s B1G championship is going to provide the champion another RPI top 15 win, which could definitely affect seeding – especially if the game is between MSU and OSU, who have almost identical profiles at this point.

  • AG

    Is it too much to ask not to end up playing Vandy in Nashville, Belmont in Louisville, or Akron (who beat Miss. St. and WVU) in Columbus!?

  • comeonblue

    I thought they couldn’t put any of the top 4 seeds in each bracket at a disadvantage geographically during the round of 64.  Can they play us against Akron in Columbus?  Sounds like a disadvantage to me.