Scouting Moses Morgan (12-22-2008)

Moses Morgan

Another guest scouting report, this time Ken in Vegas made it out to see 2009 wing target Moses Morgan play a couple games. Here is his full report on Moses:

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Moses MorganOver the last week I have had the pleasure of attending two Palo Verde high school basketball games with the intention of scouting their star player and new 2010 Michigan recruit, Moses Morgan. I took this assignment very seriously. Hell, I straight-up got nerdy with it. Basically, I convinced myself that I actually was a scout and decided to play the part. As I am an internal auditor by day, I already had a clipboard handy, and was dressed in my sports coat and slacks. As I walked into the gymnasium, you could tell people were wondering who I was. “Is he from Arizona or Georgetown?” the people murmured as I busily scribbled notes onto my clipboard. “I wonder if he’s here to see Moses?……Maybe he’s here to see my son….. Does he know he can’t bring those nachos into the gym?”

Ok, nobody cared who I was or even noticed I was there, but this was a fantasy that I wasn’t going to let slip by without indulging. The first thing I was quickly reminded of was-this is high school basketball, Ken. The pubescent kids, the gymnasium bleachers, the corny Marky Mark cheerleading routines-they were all a nostalgic shock to the system.

Moses Morgan plays for a talented 4-1 team in an untalented region. The competition in Las Vegas is not great, so keep that in mind. That being said, Moses dropped 32 pts in the first game and around 20 in the second game I attended. Surprisingly, he isn’t the best shooter on the team. He isn’t the best ball-handler on the team. He isn’t even the most athletic on the team. But he’s probably the best all-around player, and certainly the most highly recruited.

Moses is an interesting specimen for several reasons. The boy was the tallest kid on the floor both nights I was in the stands, yet he doesn’t play center. On ESPN’s scouting report, he is listed as a 6 foot 5 shooting guard. Well, he definitely isn’t filling the role of a shooting guard on this team, and he seemed more like 6’6 or taller when I stood next to him. He is the most equipped to play in the post, but you don’t see him there often. In fact, they don’t even put their biggest guy on him. It’s just not needed. That’s not where he’s roaming. I can see why, because in the few instances that he found himself suddenly guarding their center, he got pushed around. He just doesn’t have the frame yet, and will need to hit the weight room hard in his senior year. I also don’t think he likes banging down low.

“Well,” you say, “he must be a streaker then or an off-the dribble scorer?” No, he isn’t that either. This isn’t a Manny Harris type. If I had to classify Morgan’s game, I would call him an opportunist over a creationist. A creationist being Manny-someone who can create his own offense. You give him the ball at the top of the key, a little space, and he’s going to take it to the rack for an “and 1″. Moses Morgan is an opportunist because he lets the scoring come to him. He only really scored in 3 ways: he sat outside the arc and got open 3 pointers (hit about half of them), he finished on fast breaks, and he grabbed a lot of rebounds for easy put backs or was hacked and sent to the line. The rebounds and fast break conversions really just resulted naturally from him being the most physically gifted against weak competition. The 3 pointers resulted from him actually having really good touch as a shooter. I saw him go 16-16 from the stripe in the first game. His stroke was pretty and he could hit a jumper from anywhere on the floor. Although, he never really had a hand in his face. I don’t think the other team really understood why he wasn’t dominating down low and just lost track of him around the perimeter. Moses also showed some nice touch with floaters in the paint or when trailing on the fast breaks. I never saw him dunk. Just not the highflying type.

This leads me to the central point of my little amateur report here. He seems like a great prospect from afar and is rated in the top 60 in the nation, because quite frankly, he puts up the stats. I can even see why Beilein likes him, because the kid is a good shooter for his height. If you ask me, however, (and nobody is) I don’t see how he meets expectations in the conversion to college basketball. He’s not a guard, because he doesn’t have great ball handling skills and doesn’t try to run the offense. He’s not a 4 or 5, because he doesn’t have the meat or power game. Is he a 3 then? Well, he reminded me of Anthony Wright more than anybody else, so take that for what it’s worth. I think he would end up being a similar player to Ant with a higher field goal percentage. The awkward “tweener” problem would remain. The defensive intensity seemed adequate, and he would probably be good for the 1-3-1 with the ultra-wide wingspan, but not a standout defender by any means.

Mentally, the kid is a quiet leader on the floor. He keeps to himself mostly, and from talking to one of the parents of another player, is a really good kid. I bought that, but almost had to think twice when Moses was called for a technical foul towards the end of game 2. Basically, he put a “get that crap outta here” block on the opposing 5’10” point guard, sending the kid to the floor. He then proceeded to saunter over him like football players do after a big hit. Was he trying to help him up? The referee didn’t think so.

Let’s be honest. The kid is only a junior and there’s no doubt that I am probably being too hard on him, but I’m just calling it like I see it. Moses Morgan is a highly productive stat machine in a weak state and has probably been a little overrated. Maybe this is just what juniors in high school look like. If he is to get me excited, he needs to build some muscle and figure out how to create offense when your team needs a bucket and everybody is keying on you. The flat-footed, Stretch Armstrong rebounds, easy put-backs, and wide-open 3s aren’t going to be there at the next level, son. Luckily you have plenty of time to show you belong in the upper echelon of recruits and worthy of a scholarship on what will be a deep 2010 Michigan team.

I’ll continue to monitor Morgan’s play (especially next year) as long as Michigan seems serious about his recruitment. I should also have some film footage available in a few months, courtesy of one of the Palo Verde mothers. Thank you for listening and GO BLUE!!!

Game 10: Michigan vs Oakland Post Game


Laval Lucas-Perry lived up to the hype in his debut. Laval was 4 of 6 on three pointers for 14 points in only 16 minutes. “LL Cool P” had plenty of help, Stu Douglass set the tone by nailing three straight triples in the early going and DeShawn Sims scored a team high 20 points. Not to mention Manny Harris who set a career high with 13 assists and no turnovers to go with his 15 points. It was a team effort but Manny Harris was the catalyst as he shredded Oakland’s zone defense by driving and kicking all night long.

Laval Lucas-Perry

Oakland stuck around even after Michigan opened up a 17 point lead and they managed to cut the lead to 4 points late in the 2nd half. Yet again Michigan held tough and put the game away with an 10-2 run that included a Harris layup followed by Novak and Grady triples. I was disappointed to see the lead disappear but I was proud of how this team stuck in there. We can look at individual improvements (and there are plenty of them) but the biggest difference in this year’s team is their chemistry and composure.

There is plenty to digest regarding the rotation today. The starters remained the same: Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, and Sims. Merritt (18 min) and Grady (22) got all of the minutes at point guard while Douglass and Lucas-Perry got most of the minutes at the two. Harris (36) and Lee (4) handled the three but Novak made his debut at the 4. Novak played 25 minutes and a lot of them were on the wing at the expense of Jevohn Shepherd, who only played 10 minutes, and Anthony Wright who didn’t get off the bench. The small line up makes rebounding an even bigger liability but it also lets Michigan extend opposing defenses even further.

I’m sure the line up will continue to be tweaked but right now it doesn’t seem like Lucas-Perry is ready to run the one. There were a couple times we had Grady, LLP, Harris, Novak, Sims out there and that’s a little worrisome in terms of size but this roster is so guard-centric that I don’t know what else Beilein can do. It will also be interesting to see whether this was a product of Oakland’s tricky zone defense or whether it will be used going forward. Here is what Stu had to say on spreading the floor with him and Zack out there at the same time:

“I liked it a lot. With the addition of Lava (Lucas-Perry), we can mix it up more and have Novak and I on the court at the same time. Zack and I can really spread the floor. We have been spreading the floor for Manny (Harris) and he has gotten a lot of points from it. Today, he had 13 assists because they were doubling him. It’s really how we complement his game.”

Three of the four factors were basically a wash but Michigan shot the ball better than the Golden Grizzlies. Michigan shot an eFG% of 59.8% to Oakland’s 50%. It’s also remarkable that Michigan has only turned it over 5 times in each of their last two games, tonight they had a turnover rate of only 8.1% and managed 24 assists.

Defensively Michigan stayed in mostly man to man and abandoned the 1-3-1 pretty early on. This is the second game they have thrown out the 1-3-1 and I would guess it had to do with Kangas being such a threat from deep as well as Oakland being a very solid offensive team.

Player Notes:

  • Laval Lucas-Perry: LLP came out shooting the ball and really found a rhythm. In the little ammount of 1-3-1 defense that Michigan played I believe LLP was on the wing. He didn’t look to have the best lateral quickness but looked solid on defense. He played off guard but boy is his shot pretty. 14 points and 2 boards in 16 minutes is not too shabby for a debut.
  • Manny Harris: Manny had a goose-egg at the break but ended up with 15 points when all was said and done. Manny’s scoring wasn’t what he brought to the game today though. Manny’s 13 assists were 1 assist short of tying Gary Grant’s school record. 13 assists is impressive but I think Manny playing 36 minutes and not turning it over once is remarkable as well. Manny continues to let the game come to him and not force the issue.
  • DeShawn Sims: A quiet 20 points for Peedi tonight to go with his 9 boards. Peedi is falling in love with the baseline jumper but he also got it done around the rim. My only beef with Peedi’s game is that Keith Benson had 23 points and 11 boards.
  • Stu Douglass: Great to see Stu get off on the right foot. He had been struggling with his jump shot and hitting the first three threes of a game is going to get his confidence back up. Competition is a beautiful thing and all of these guards are going to force guys to elevate their games.
  • Zack Novak: Not the best day shooting but Novak hit a huge three late in the game when Oakland was coming back. The kid is a competitor and even though he’s a freshman I trust him hitting the big shots.
  • Zack Gibson: A good game for Zack’s confidence. Gibson only played 13 minutes but he had 6 points on 2-3 shooting as well as 4 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 blocks. Michigan is going to need him this season so hopefully he can bring a solid effort from here on out.
  • Kelvin Grady: Grady posted another solid effort. He is great at pushing the ball and can stick the open three. He had one questionable shot but hit two three pointers and also pulled down 6 boards.

Overall a solid effort against a scrappy Oakland team who can fill it up. Michigan should move in to the top 25 this week after losses by Memphis, Davidson, and Marquette. This was also a great day for the Big Ten, Michigan State knocked off Texas, Minnesota beat Louisville, and Purdue handled Davidson. The conference is going to be a dogfight but these non-conference wins could give the Big Ten an extra bid or two in March (#1 conference RPI *fell to #2 overnight). There are two more cupcakes on the schedule but the Wisconsin game on December 31st looms large. If Michigan can continue to shoot the three ball like this (fourth game of the row over 40%) I think they can compete with anyone in the country.

One other note: I saw Trey Zeigler at the game (his dad’s CMU team played before) and he went and shook Mike Jackson’s hand but I’m not sure where he went after that.

Game 10: Michigan at Oakland Preview

Basics:

Who: Michigan (7-2) vs Oakland (7-5)
Where: The Palace of Auburn Hills
When: Saturday, December 20th, 4:02 PM ET
TV: FSD (Reair on Fox Sports Atlantic at 7:00 PM / Possible stream at channelsurfing.net)
Preview: Stat Sheet
Radio: MGoBlue, WWJ-AM (950), WTKA-AM (1050)

Laval Lucas-PerryLaval Lucas-Perry’s debut has finally arrived. Frankly, coming into this year I didn’t expect much from this team before December 20th and now I don’t know what to think. I figured that Michigan would struggle with teams like UCLA, Southern Illinois, Duke, and Maryland and be sitting a lot closer to 500 than 7-2. Now if they can pull off wins over Oakland, Florida Gulf Coast, and NC Central they are looking at a potential record of 10-2 headed into the conference season. Most impressive is the fact that they have achieved all this without the help of LLP.

Michigan will ease Laval into the rotation, I would expect around 20 minutes or so today. There is no need to force the issue when you have a team that’s playing good basketball. A bit of a checklist on what to watch for with Laval:

  • Where does he play on offense and defense? Is he playing the one or the two? Does he play at the top or bottom of the 1-3-1?
  • Does he look comfortable distributing it? How does he shoot the three?
  • What lineup combinations are out there? Does Beilein play Grady with LLP? LLP with Novak?

Oakland is a solid program in the state of Michigan who really put themselves on the map when Rawle Marshall (the fighter) led them to an NCAA berth in 2005. I would expect they will be near the top of the Summit conference again this year. It’s also important to look at their non-conference schedule and understand some of the reasoning behind it. Oakland plays a lot of games in short time periods to try and help prepare them for the Summit tournament because that’s the only way in for a team in their conference. This scheduling makes the Michigan game Oakland’s third in less than a week (Rochester on Sunday and Wisc-GB Thursday).

Oakland is still without Derick Nelson, the 6-5 wing averaged 17 ppg last year but is out with a broken foot. Their go to guys on offense are Erik Kangas and Jonathan Jones. Kangas is a 6-3 guard averaging 16.6 ppg who is the Grizzlies main deep threat with a career three point percentage just under 40 percent. Jonathan Jones is a point guard from Okemos who plays 38.4 mpg and averages 14.5 ppg along with 5.4 apg. Jones can change a game with his speed and seeing him and Grady go head to head should be fun.

As a team Oakland tends to play a little faster than Michigan, they average 69 possessions per game to Michigan’s 66. Michigan shoots the ball better with an eFG% of 53% compared to OU’s 50.4%. Oakland gets more offensive rebounds as they rebound 34.5% of their missed shots compared to Michigan’s 30.7. However Oakland turns the ball over 21.5% of their possessions compared to Michigan’s 18.2%.

Last year Michigan broke the century mark against Oakland but also gave up 87 points. Michigan fans should worry if Kangas gets hot and Michigan comes out flat. The Palace will probably be about a third full (TICKETS ARE STILL ON SALE) so energy might be a little down. Hopefully the addition of LLP to the lineup will have Michigan fired up and ready to go on Saturday and Michigan can get by with a solid win.

Let’s hear your thoughts and predictions in the comments.

Friday Links

Scouting Matt Vogrich (12-18-2008)

Next in an ongoing series of recruiting scouting reports. This time it’s another Michigan commitment, Matt Vogrich. Thanks on this one go to Bill St. John for providing the report. I should have a Moses Morgan report up soon as well.

Other posts today: Scouting Darius Morris & Video and Mailbag.

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Matt VogrichJust returned from watching Matt Vogrich play Mundelein High School and thought I’d share some thoughts. To start here is the line from tonight’s game:

26 pts
9-21 from the field including 0-3 from behind the arc.
9 rebounds (4 off, 5 def)
2 assists and 8-11 from the line

Mundelein is a good not great team but played physical all night. I have seen Matt play two games this week and I get the impression he turns it on when necessary and chooses to be unselfish based on the competition. I must say it was the quietest 26 I’ve ever seen. He passed on several opportunities that I’m sure would drive Coach Belein crazy but again they had a comfortable lead most of the night (LF won by 20).

He is a fine athlete and has great body control on breaks and in the lane. My only concern would be the absence of a mid range game. I’ve yet to see him shoot from 10-15 ft opting instead to take it all the way to the hoop even forcing it at times. He either shoots a three or it’s a 2 foot layup (most times splitting two defenders). Of course he is the best player on the floor and from what I’ve seen one of the tallest so scoring from inside isn’t a bad thing they just aren’t shots he’ll get next year. I do look forward to watching him with great players around him. I’ve yet to see the stroke I’ve heard so much about but I’m sure it will come with better competition. Being a coach myself I love his vision. He had two excellent anticipation assists where he let the pass go before a cut was made leading his man to the bucket for an easy layup. He really feels the game and fits perfect in a Beilein system.

VIDEO: Darius Morris vs Cleveland High

To go along with the Darius Morris scouting report I posted this morning we have a short clip from the game. This isn’t really a highlight film and the video doesn’t start until about half time. It’s just a small sample of Darius’ game Wednesday night. Just don’t want people to be disappointed that it’s not a full fledged highlight film.
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