Value Add Formula: A Closer Look at the Big Ten

x350[1]Sports Illustrated’s Luke Winn brought some mainstream attention to John Pudner’s Value Add formula last week. The formula measures the precise offensive value added by any specific player – or more specifically the drop off involved in replacing one player with a generic ninth or tenth man off of the bench. (Detailed explanation here.)

Baseball fans probably realize this is somewhat similar to the wins above replacement metric utilized in baseball. Longtime readers of this blog will also probably notice the similarities between Pudner’s system and KJ’s PORPAG system.

Pudner compiled an entire dataset of all 2500 returning players in college and Winn made several observations regarding the Big Ten. Some that Big Ten fans are all too familiar with (Jordan Taylor is really good) but also just how large of an impact fifth year transfers Sam Maniscalco (Bradley to Illinois) and Brandon Wood (Valparaiso to Michigan State) should have on their respective teams that otherwise have some major question marks.

There’s been plenty of analysis of Marquette, the Big East, New York centric and Chicago based teams but here are a couple thoughts on Michigan and next year’s Big Ten.

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Notebook: Austin Hatch, Recruiting Rankings and 2014 Visits

Class of 2012 Big Ten Recruiting Rankings: August 30th, 2011

Trent Montemayor took our inquiry for help to heart and volunteered to construct and maintain a running database of Big Ten Recruiting Rankings. The idea is borrowed from MGoBlog, who maintains a similar list for football classes. There will likely be some tweaks in future iterations but for now, here’s the current data:

Rank School # Commits Rivals Avg. Scout Avg. ESPN Avg. 24/7 Avg.
1 Indiana 5 4.00 3.60 3.60 3.20
2 Michigan State 3 4.00 3.67 4.00 3.67
3 Purdue 3 3.67 3.67 3.67 4.00
4 Michigan 2 4.00 3.50 4.00 4.00
5 Iowa 3 3.33 3.00 3.33 1.33
6 Northwestern 3 1.00 2.67 2.33 1.00
7 Wisconsin 1 5.00 4.00 4.00 4.00
8 Minnesota 1 3.00 0.00 3.00 0.00
9 Penn State 1 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00
10 Nebraska 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
T11 Illinois 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A
T11 Ohio State 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A

Team by team data after the jump.

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Introducing Kevin Raftery and Other Site Notes

imageSeveral of our friends, rivals and companions in the Michigan sports realm have announced major staffing moves over the last month and now we want to take the opportunity to announce a move of our own. Kevin Raftery will be joining the team as a day-to-day correspondent in a role similar to Joe Stapleton’s last season. Raftery is essentially a utility man, he’ll cover games and press conferences, most likely dabble in recruiting and deal with any other duties that come up along the way.

Raftery is currently a senior editor at the Michigan Daily where he’ll be covering the Michigan football team this year. This spring he also traveled to Augusta to cover Michigan student Lion Kim at the Masters. He will still be invested in his football coverage at the Michigan Daily but you should start to see posts from him shortly and he will gradually post more as we draw closer to the season. You can also follow him on twitter.

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Video: Mitch McGary Shatters Backboard at Elite 24

2012 Michigan recruiting target Mitch McGary was invited to play in the Boost Mobile Elite 24 event in Venice Beach this weekend and made headlines but shattering the backboard with a dunk during warmups. Here’s footage of McGary’s dunk:

McGary will begin taking visits next weekend when he takes his first official visit to Ann Arbor for Michigan’s football season opener. He’ll also travel to Kentucky (unofficial, 9/5), North Carolina (official, 9/7) and Duke (official, 9/8) in the comings days and weeks.

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