Thursday Bullets

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Around the Big Ten ‘09: Michigan State

Previously: Wisconsin

KJ of The Only Colors agreed to pitch in and answer some questions about Michigan State’s upcoming season. KJ has a few more friends at The Only Colors and they even talk football, but we know that he is a basketball blogger at heart. Make sure to bookmark the site or add it to your RSS reader because KJ is one of the best when it comes to statistical analysis.

Last Year’s Numbers:
31-7 (15-3), NCAA Runner Up
KenPom: 8, RPI: 4
Conference Returning Stats Breakdown

Could things really be better (on the basketball court) in East Lansing? What are your expectations for this year’s team?

Well, it’s going to be tough to top the 2008-09 season: an outright Big Ten championship to end a 7-year title drought and a run all the way to the national championship game to extend Tom Izzo’s every-four-year-player-has-been-to-a-Final-Four streak.  But we certainly have a lot of great pieces back.  The question is whether they can gel as well as the 2009 team did down the stretch.  Contention for a repeat conference championship and another run to the Final Four are certainly reasonable goals.  If the team doesn’t hit one of those two goals, the season will likely go down as a disappointment.

Kalin Lucas is easily the best point guard in the conference, maybe even the country, but does Michigan State really have the best backcourt in the nation?

The potential is there.  The question is whether Durrell Summers and/or Chris Allen can take the next step as juniors.  Summers, in particular, could conceivably become a 15-points-per-game scorer if he can shoot the ball consistently and make good decisions with the ball.  Really, though, Tom Izzo-coached teams (like most basketball teams) succeed when a 8 to 9 players fit together into a cohesive unit, rather than relying on a single player or unit.

walton suton

I think the departures of Goran Suton and Travis Walton will have a stronger effect than people expect. Suton was a warrior down the stretch and Walton was the defensive stopper that is a staple of Izzo teams. Who replaces Suton’s role? Walton’s?

Replacing Goran Suton is a tall order.  As a senior, he did everything you can ask a big man to do: rebound the ball, play savvy defense in the post, handle the ball in traffic, shoot the ball from the outside.  The hope is that Delvon Roe, who is reportedly 100% recovered from his knee surgeries, can step into the role of primary post player (more on that below).

Replacing Travis Walton will need to be more of a team effort.  Kalin Lucas and Durrell Summers will need to step up on defense to guard the opposition’s top perimeter scorers.  Frankly, I expect the team will be a little weaker on defense with Walton gone.  The trick may be to make sure they improve enough on offense to offset that eventuality.

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Casey Prather to Florida

prather-big prather-4

Jackson, Tennessee wing forward Casey Prather verbally committed to the University of Florida today. Prather had narrowed his college choices down to either Michigan or Florida but settled on Billy Donovan’s Gators.

This is a tough loss for the Michigan staff who followed Prather relentlessly over the last year. John Beilein and John Mahoney were a constant presence at Prather’s high school and AAU games. They began recruiting Casey when they weren’t sure that they would even be able to get him on campus and they certainly made their mark. They brought him in for an official visit and made his final two but in the end it was just too hard to pull him from the south.

I think Prather realized Michigan was a great fit but in the end he was just more comfortable at Florida.

“I felt like I was at home in that environment, and I loved the campus,” Prather said. “Coach Donovan is a premier coach, and I felt like I fit in with their players after I hung out with them.”

In terms of what this does for Michigan’s recruiting picture, Trey Zeigler becomes priority number 1, 2, and 3. It’s all hands on deck for the next 6 or 7 months until Zeigler makes his decision. Michigan is very much involved with Zeigler and at last note he had an official visit scheduled for Ann Arbor on October 24th for the Michigan/Penn State game.

Casey Prather Down to Two, Will Announce Wednesday

One quick update on Casey Prather, who appears to have come to a decision. The Tennessee native will announce his decision on Wednesday. Word leaked on Monday that Prather had narrowed his list to two schools: Florida and Michigan.

At this point the prevailing internet rumor is that Florida is the likely destination for Prather’s services. Prather has kept his recruitment close to the vest throughout and most of the communication with the media has been through his coaches. This trend doesn’t appear to have changed as the latest rumors are not direct from Casey himself.

Sam Webb thinks Michigan still fits Prather’s criteria but he also says he has no read on what Prather’s decision will be (MP3). He thinks that if he chooses Florida, it will be a deviation from the criteria that Prather’s camp has set. Webb also thinks that the fact that Prather’s father didn’t make the visit to Ann Arbor and did make it to Gainesville is a boost to Florida’s chances.

Prather’s AAU coach, Charles Clark, has been a unique source of information throughout Prather’s recruitment by keeping followers up to date with his twitter account. Clark let off a series of tweets last night about Prather’s recruitment:

Didn’t know it was going to be made public so soon but if you havent heard its between Florida and Michigan for Casey Prather.

Feel bad for him considering his gotta tell some wonderful coaches “Thanks, but No Thanks”.

What if he goes to Michigan and potentially him and Austin Hollins are going head to head againist each other in two years..WOW!

Gotta give alot of credit to Beilein and Mahoney. I think they’ve done a fantastic job recruiting this guy. They covered alot of ground.

Casey seems to be pretty excited about his college choice…Wonder what hes thinking, NORTH or SOUTH? Gators or Wolverines?


Monday Bullets

kearney gibson calPercy Gibson, Coach Calipari, and Brandan Kearney (Photo courtesy of Next Generation Sports)

Around the Big Ten ‘09: Wisconsin

In an effort to preview the other ten teams in the Big Ten, I’m going to be conducting a series of interviews with other Big Ten hoops bloggers. We are going to kick it off with everyone’s favorite, Wisconsin and Bo Ryan’s swing offense. Hoops Marinara is one of the best Wisconsin hoops blogs around and Phil agreed to jump in and break down the Badgers.

Last Year’s Numbers:
20-13 (10-8), NCAA 2nd Round loss to Xavier
KenPom: 29, RPI: 42
Conference Returning Stats Breakdown

krabbenhoftFans around the Big Ten are probably celebrating the fact that Joe Krabbenhoft has graduated, any other key departures?

Wisconsin lost two solid four-year “glue guys” in Krabbenhoft and Marcus Landry that contributed to much of Bo Ryan’s recent success in Madison. Krabby and Old Man Landry will be missed most of all for their versatility, defense and unselfishness. Krabbenhoft may have been detested around the league, but he was tough. Landry was an undersized warrior who had turned into a good outside shooter. On the flip side, it can be argued that neither Landry nor Krabbenhoft really seemed to live up to expectations as they got older. Former walk-on Kevin Gullikson also graduated, taking with him some frontcourt depth, a lot of hustle and the anchor leg of any pitcher race.

Who’s expected to fill the gaps? What’s your predicted starting lineup?

Everyone is expecting an all-upperclassmen starting five from Bo Ryan. The senior backcourt will be Trevon Hughes at point and Jason Bohannon as the shooter. Both Keaton Nankivil (6’8″) and Jon Leuer (6’10″) spent time in the starting lineup last season as sophomores, but neither is a true center. Fellow junior Tim Jarmusz (6’7) will man the small forward spot to start the year. Wisconsin must get more out of their reserves than they did last season, when the bench minutes ranked in the bottom fifth of all Division I.

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