Around the Big Ten ‘09: Indiana

Previously: Illinois, Michigan State, Minnesota, Northwestern, Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin

Next up in the seemingly never ending series of Big Ten previews, the Indiana Hoosiers. Indiana was absolutely terrible last year, so bad that they didn’t even fall on most efficiency charts. Tom Crean is no newcomer to coaching though, and improvement seems likely in Bloomington. Alex from Inside the Hall, one of the best team specific hoops blogs on the internet, agreed to answer some questions about this year’s Hoosier team. You can also find a series of player profiles over at Inside the Hall.

crean2Last year was beyond awful (losing 21 of last 22) in Bloomington but as a Michigan fan we are familiar with how fast a turnaround can happen. What are the expectations for the Hoosiers this year? I assume they will be better but by how much?

Expectations are still fairly modest because it’s year two of a substantial rebuilding process. I’m not quite sure anyone understood how bad last season was going to be until it was said and done, but it was one of the low points, in terms of wins and losses, in Indiana history. Tom Crean has seven new faces that he’ll piece together with a couple of key returnees and the Hoosiers should finish out close games that were losses a season ago.

Kyle Taber was the only graduating senior, was there any other attrition of note?

There were two transfers that most are viewing as addition by subtraction. Nick Williams (8.9ppg) moved on to Mississippi and Malik Story (5.9 ppg) is now at Nevada. While both logged significant minutes as freshmen, neither guy figured to see as much time with the recruiting class that has arrived. It also helped answer a few questions about the scholarship situation, which is still a bit of a logjam.

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Monday Bullets

Around the Big Ten '09: Northwestern

Previously: Illinois, Michigan State, Minnesota, Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin

Next up in the Around the Big Ten series, Northwestern. The Wildcats pulled off some shocking upsets last year and the folks in Evanston are excited for the upcoming year. I got a hold of Lake The Posts to talk some Northwestern hoops.

Last year was one of the best seasons in recent history for Northwestern basketball… How do fans feel about this year’s team? Are they expecting more this year?

There is a somewhat unprecedented sense of optimism heading into this season. We return 4 starters, but the loss of 3-point bombing bad ass Craig Moore definitely will hurt. However, we have a relatively hyped frosh in Drew Crawford who is the slashing/scoring/dunking (what – a dunker?!!!) type we rarely get at NU. Many believe THIS is the year we FINALLY break into the NCAA Tournament for the first time ever. A lot of speculation over what type of celebration would be bigger – ‘Cats in the Dance vs 1995 Rose Bowl (Rose Bowl usually wins that debate). My only fear is that Carmody doesn’t continue to make poor personnel decisions down the stretch of key games.

Craig Moore was one of the best shooters in the entire conference, is there anyone waiting in the wings to replace his deep threat?

Each of our bigs has improved their shooting, including John Shurna, the 6-9 soph who spent the summer helping the USA u-19 team win a world championship. I’ve also heard promising things about incoming freshman, Alex Marcotullio, who allegedly has some range.

Northwestern Michigan St Basketball

Just how good is Kevin Coble?

That good. He’s got the look that inspires chuckles from opponents as his wiry frame belies his true talents. He makes the improbable look routine. The kid is an all-out player who simply gets it done. However, there will be no more surprises as most teams will adopt the “contain Coble and let the other 4 beat us” approach. Without the proven 3-point dead-eye of Craig Moore, the key to NU’s season will be consistent outside 3-play from Shurna and/or others to send a message to Big Ten teams that you can’t just collapse the D and play a zone which is what I would do.

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Thursday Bullets

Mr. Versatile

manny-osuevan-turner-mich manny-turner

Fran Fraschilla recently ranked the most versatile players in the country (ESPN Insider). The article is behind a pay wall but Fraschilla defines a versatile player as follows:

To me, it’s a player who could help me win if I had to play five of him on the court at one time. Hasheem Thabeet was a dominating presence last season, but I wouldn’t want him bringing the ball up the court or coming off screens to shoot jumpers. On the other hand, Louisville’s Terrence Williams was drafted in large part because he played effectively everywhere for Rick Pitino. In football, I am not sure I could win with 11 Jared Allens on defense, but I’d take my chances with the speed, strength and quickness of eleven Troy Polamalus.

The Big Ten’s very own Evan Turner took down the title as the most versatile player in the country. It’s hard to argue with that, Turner can play anywhere on the wing and will likely run the point guard this year. The other Big Ten player on the list is Purdue’s Robbie Hummel, another pick that I can’t argue with.

The one qualm I have with Fraschilla’s listing is that Manny Harris is nowhere to be found, not even under “just missed the cut”. I know Fraschilla has nothing against Manny, he probably wanted to open the list up to other conferences, however I think Harris deserves some credit for his versatility.

Let’s start with a comparison of Manny Harris and Evan Turner’s numbers from a year ago. Here are some of the vitals:

Statistic Turner Harris
O-Rating 107.7 107.3
Usage 29.5% 31.5%
eFG% 51.6% 47.4%
3-Pt Shooting 11/25 (44%) 52/159 (32.7%)
FT Rate 57.8% 46.7%
Off Reb (%) 1.7 (6.5%) 1.8 (6.5%)
Def Reb (%) 5.4 (17.1%) 5 (19.1%)
Assists (%) 3.97 (25.8%) 4.4 (32.2%)
A/T Ratio 1.1 1.4

These numbers are about as close to a statistical draw as you can get. Turner is slightly more efficient, a better shooter (although the three point shoot is barely a part of arsenal) and manages to get to the line a bit more. However, Harris is a better rebounder (tempo free), dishes out more assists, and turns the ball over fewer times. Turner also has a slight edge in blocks and steals.

I am a big Evan Turner fan, and thought he probably deserved Big Ten Player of the Year last year, but Manny Harris deserves to at least be in this conversation. You would be hard pressed to find any two players who rank near the top of their conference in scoring, rebounding, assists, free throw percentage, and steals the way that Turner and Harris do. If we’re talking about putting out five of the same player on the floor, I’d pay money to see five Mannys battle five Turners.

This year I expect Turner’s scoring and rebounding numbers to see a slight decline from playing the point guard but his assist numbers should make a big jump. For Harris, the key is to improve his shooting percentage, if he can improve his three point shooting percentage another two or three percent his statistical profile begins to look eerily similar to James Harden.

Around the Big Ten ‘09: Ohio State

Previously: Illinois, Michigan State, Minnesota, Penn State, Wisconsin

Bob Baptist is one of the best beat writers in the Big Ten. Baptist covers the Buckeyes for the Columbus Dispatch, on his blog Hoops & Scoops, as well as on his Twitter account. Baptist graciously agreed to answer some questions about this year’s Buckeyes team.

Ohio State had a mildly disappointing season last year in my opinion, although they were obviously limited by the David Lighty injury. What are the expectations in Columbus for the basketball team this year?

Very hard to gauge expectations at this point because all a vast majority of Buckeye fans care about right now is football. But I will those who stay attuned to hoops year-round are optimistic that Ohio State will be good enough and experienced enough to contend in a strong league. Michigan State and Purdue return a lot, but fans are eager to see what Ohio State can do with David Lighty back in the lineup. Biggest question on everyone’s mind is how the point and post positions will perform.

evan-turnerIn my mind, Evan Turner is the best player in the conference. But I am very curious to see how he adapts to playing the point guard position. I have no doubt that he can play it but I’m not sure it’s best for him or the Buckeyes. What are your thoughts on Turner playing the one?

All I can go off is what I saw during the three exhibition games in Canada, and the Buckeyes ran very little half-court offense there because they were rebounding and running at will most possessions. When they did run sets, Turner was giving up the ball quickly (24-second clock) and using screens to get it back at the end of the possession so he could finish. So I wouldn’t necessarily look for him to be breaking down his man to get in the lane if that man is a true point; not to initiate the offense, anyway. It may not be the best position for him, but it is best for the team. No one else in the starting five can play the position, and Jeremie Simmons and P.J. Hill aren’t 30-minute guys, either.

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