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BTT Game 2: Michigan vs. Ohio State Post Game

turner-shot Box score.

Michigan battled with Ohio State and continuously fought back despite being  behind by double digits for long stretches of the second half but in the end it wasn’t enough. Manny Harris single handily carried Michigan back into the game but it was all for not after Turner’s 40 foot running jumper as time expired.

Turner’s shot was tremendous and there’s a reason that he’s the best college basketball player in the country. Still, it was a running 40 footer from a 28% three point shooter. That’s not a high percentage shot from anyone.

First off, I don’t have a major problem with not defending the inbounder. If you are going to take a running shot like that, the inbounds pass isn’t all that critical. Guarding the inbounder comes into play if they are able to make a very long pass downcourt, Turner caught the ball at free throw line extended. It was a pass that could have been made even with Zack Gibson guarding Lighty.

What you do have to do is impede his progress at some point before half court. This didn’t happen because Buford set a great screen on Douglass. Once Turner is across half court, you simply can’t foul him so actually contesting the shot is tough to do. If you watch the replay, Douglass did have a bit of a hand in his face but not fouling has to be the #1 priority in that situation.

Still, Michigan needed to slow Turner down. I would have put one more player in the backcourt, especially with Buford back there as well, in an attempt to slow Turner down but I also realize that Beilein didn’t want to give up the long pass and a potential good two point look. 2.2 seconds is a time frame where you really have to think about throwing the ball further down the court. 4 or 5 seconds and you are more likely to see the kind of play that Ohio State ran because you can run the length of the court easier.

If Turner misses that shot, are people questioning whether Ohio State should have thrown the ball further down the court in attempt to a get a better look? It’s a thin line. At the end of the day, Turner made a hell of a shot and made it look ridiculously easy but not forcing Turner to work in the backcourt falls on Michigan’s defensive plan.

Back to the other 39 minutes and 57.8 seconds. There were a bunch of “here we go again” moments starting with Michigan’s collapse at the end of the first half which allowed Ohio State to close the half on a 25-6 run. Michigan consistently cut the lead to 5 or 6 points ago but Ohio State typically answered, pushing the lead back to ten. But for one of the first time this year, Michigan managed to play through their mistakes.

Then Manny Harris took over. Harris had 22 of his 26 points in the second half and scored in just about every way possible. He got to the free throw line, he took the ball to the rack, scored in transition, hit three point shots, and even scored in the midrange. Harris had some definitely low points this year but this was one of the high notes.  It was a firm reminder of just what Manny can be if he returns for his senior year. Harris provided no update on his future after the game, saying it would be “wrong and selfish” to discuss his future after the loss which is certainly reasonable.

Looking at the four factors… The game was pretty much a dead heat. Michigan outrebounded the Buckeyes and got to the free throw line more often. Ohio State outshot Michigan by the slimmest of margins (Turner’s last shot was the difference) and also won the turnover battle. Michigan turned the ball over 9 times in the first half but did a much better job in the second.

It was a valiant effort from Michigan but in the end it just wasn’t enough. The adage about “big time players making big time plays” is a cliche but in today’s case it was just the truth. Manny Harris was phenomenal but Evan Turner had the ball last, even if it was only for the last 2.2 seconds.

It’s fitting for this season to end with one more punch in the gut but now it’s time to move toward the future with signing day only a month away. You can bet that the players returning on this roster will be hungry. Any sort of complacency that developed during last off-season won’t be tolerable. In terms of what happens on the blog… We’ll have a series of posts examining what went wrong this year followed by a series of posts hypothesizing how to fix things. We’ll also continue to cover recruiting and everything else that we’ve done before.

Player Bullets:

  • Manny Harris: As I said in the post, Manny was just phenomenal. Some of the shots that he hit down the stretch are ones that we just haven’t seen from him. If Harris is able to supplement the rest of his game with the pull up jumper and a little runner, he will be far more dangerous. I don’t think he’s an NBA prospect right now but I wouldn’t fault him for putting his name in the draft without hiring an agent, leaving the door open to return.
  • Stu Douglass: Stu hit some huge three pointers in the second half and kept Michigan in the game. It was a long year for Stu, playing a lot more point guard than might have been expected but this was a great performance from Douglass.
  • DeShawn Sims: Peedi shot the ball very well but he had a couple of frustrating turnovers, mostly in the first half. It was still an all around solid performance from Sims in the last game of his career. I’m going to miss Peedi shooting those baseline fadeaway jumpshots, that’s for sure.
  • Zack Novak: 8 points (3-6 shooting) with three boards for Novak. I was shocked to see his two drives, including the pretty scoop layup under the rim. It’s something we expected more of this year but never really saw.
  • Zack Gibson: Gibson provided a few quality minutes and it was great to see him play hard down the stretch. Gibson was woefully inconsistent throughout his career but he did have his moments of glory.
  • Laval Lucas-Perry: Three rebounds, 2 steals, and two assists is nice but Laval’s shooting was just painful down the stretch this year. It’s the cross roads for Laval, he needs to make major strides this offseason.
90 Comments

Ohio State 69, Michigan 68

There’s not a more fitting way for this season to end than another heartbreaking loss. Michigan has lost a number of close games this season and this was probably the most painful loss yet.

The clock looks suspiciously close to starting late but I don’t think the officials are allowed to review when the clock started. Not to mention, it is always going to be human controlled so you just have to go with it. Thad Matta certainly didn’t look open to the idea of a review, judging by the rage he unleashed on the scorers table. Bottom line: Turner hit a ridiculous 40 foot shot at the buzzer. There’s a reason he’s the best college basketball player in the country.

I’ll have a full post-game later, including thoughts about defending the last play.

77 Comments

Big Ten Tournament Sandwich Post

Basics: Iowa box score. Ohio State match-up statistics. Next game: 12PM ESPN.

Apologies in advance but I have to keep it short because of time constraints… The Iowa game was ugly but at this point it’s tough to complain about a win.

For the first 10 minutes, everything was running smoothly and Michigan was scoring points at ease. Then Iowa switched to the zone defense and Michigan appeared bewildered. Michigan couldn’t buy a three point shot and they kept firing.

Four factors graphs sans interpretation:

Next up, Ohio State at noon eastern on ESPN. Evan Turner is good. The rest of the Ohio State starting is also good. Ohio State is a 9 point favorite and it’s really tough to see Michigan standing a chance.

For more on Ohio State here is the preview and post game from the last contest in Columbus. There isn’t really a good match-up on the court for Michigan so it will take a very impressive effort. Ohio State is probably playing for a one seed and Michigan needs a miracle to make the NIT.

It’s Ohio State’s first game in 10 days and also their first game in Indianapolis. That coupled with a noon tip off are probably the biggest x-factors going Michigan’s way. It’s not the best news when those are the only positives that you can come up with.

The post is short so let’s hear your thoughts, predictions, and everything else in the comments.

141 Comments

BTT Game 1: Michigan vs. Iowa Preview

Basics

Who: Michigan (14-16, 7-11) vs. Iowa (10-21, 4-14)
Where
: Conseco Field House, Indianapolis
When: Thursday, March 10th, 2:30 PM EST
TV: ESPN2/ESPN360.com
Radio
: MGoBlue, WWJ 950 AM/WTKA 1050 AM
Line:  Michigan by 8
Live TFS
Pomeroy Profile
Big Ten Tournament Bracket
Last Time: Preview / Post Game
First Time: Preview / Post Game

Iowa

Michigan tips off the Big Ten Tournament with a 2:30 matinee versus Iowa (again). Michigan and Iowa have become quite familiar with each other of late. This will be the 9th time that these two programs have faced off in the last three years. Michigan is 5-2 in the last seven contests, going 2-1 each year.

The old adage “it’s tough to beat a team three times” certainly comes into play here. Michigan swept the season series but judging by the game in Iowa City, the Hawkeyes seem to have figured out the Michigan defense. Iowa scored 1.18 points per possession in that game, the third worst defensive performance of Michigan’s season.

fuller

Aaron Fuller was simply dominant in that contest. Fuller scored 30 points on 11 of 13 shooting and also pulled down 13 rebounds. Michigan needs to figure out a way to slow down the versatile power forward or they could be looking at a long day. If they do manage to stop Fuller, they should have a great shot to win the game as Iowa’s options beyond Fuller are limited.

Continue reading ‘BTT Game 1: Michigan vs. Iowa Preview’

60 Comments

Wednesday Links: Horford Gets an Offer

  • Hoops: Horford picks up big offer ($)
    It took a while but Jon Horford landed his offer. He has to make his full campus tour to make things official but once he does, I would assume a commitment will follow shortly after.
  • Recruiting Roundup (3-10-10) / Recruiting Roundup (3-9-10)Part 2 (Podcasts)
    Sam Webb drops some hoops recruiting nuggets. Webb feels good about Zeigler and thinks that Michigan is in good position as things stand now. Webb speculates that it’s a “foregone conclusion” that Horford will receive an offer and that will be made official once he makes the trip to Ann Arbor for the academic presentation etc. Webb also thinks that Horford will commit once the offer is made official.
  • Michigan Headed to 2010 Legends Classic
    Post this yesterday, Michigan is playing in the Legends Classic next year along with Syracuse, Georgia Tech, and UTEP. All three schools return a lot of talent (depending on NBA departures) and it will be a tough field. The regional schools have also been added to the post and judging the list I suspect Detroit and Bowling Green will face Michigan.
  • Back and Forth, recapping the season
    The Big Ten Geeks look back at their preseason predictions, what went well and what didn’t… Michigan is example A in prognostication failure.
  • Big Ten Tournament Preview: The Coronation of …
    The Prospectus previews the Big Ten Tournament. Michigan’s logarithmic projection chance at winning the title: 0.7%. Minnesota has been a statistical (read: Pomeroy) darling all year and the projections like them as a Cinderella candidate but I’m not sure I see it.
  • Tempo Free Aerial – Final Edition
    Michigan’s efficiency margin in conference play was actually a tad better than last season.
  • NOTEBOOK: Michigan never considered the CBI; Jordan Morgan likely to have surgery
    Beilein explains the decision to skip the CBI. Morgan is getting shoulder surgery and could be looking at a four month recovery period.
  • Ohio State swingman David Lighty captains 11th annual All-Glue Team
    Draymond Green got hosed but Lighty is a good choice.
  • ESPN – NCAA Womens Bracketology
    Kevin Borseth has the Michigan womens team on the bubble. ESPN projects them as one of the last four teams in the tournament.
  • Oakland is going dancing
    The Grizzlies came up one game short last year but they punched their ticket last night. Oakland’s uptempo offense can be fun to watch and it’s great to see the local program make the tournament.
  • Committee experience and other musings
    Jay Bilas with some interesting thoughts about the NCAA selection process
36 Comments