Five Key Plays: Michigan at Ohio State

1. Lenzelle Smith scores 11 points off of eight offensive rebounds

In the days leading up to Michigan’s matchup against Ohio State, most of the talk centered around how the Wolverines were going to stop big man Jared Sullinger, or perhaps William Buford and Deshaun Thomas. The Wolverines were effective in limiting Sullinger’s production, defending Ohio State’s three point shooting  but it was the fifth Buckeye starter, Lenzelle Smith Jr., that grabbed eight offensive rebounds en route to 17 points – with 11 off of putbacks. Granted, a few of the rebounds fell into his lap as Michigan double-teamed Sullinger, leaving the weak-side rebounder nearly wide open. Because of the Buckeyes’ size advantage, the Wolverines were forced to pick their poison—take your chances guarding Sullinger one-on-one or make somebody else beat you. Michigan chose the latter, and that somebody else turned out to be Smith. Ohio State had 14 offensive rebounds for the game, grabbing over 40% of its missed shots, and Smith, who averages just four rebounds per game, was the most productive Buckeye on Sunday.

2. Bad decisions by Michigan fuel a 14-2 Ohio State second half run

For a good portion of the second half, this was a ball game. Michigan was down just one several minutes into the half and appeared to show the resilience necessary to hang in the game for the full 40 minutes. Then Ohio State went on a 14-2 run to turn a one-point game into a comfortable 13-point lead in less than five minutes of clock time. The Wolverines didn’t do themselves any favors by making a couple of careless plays that fueled the run. With Ohio State up just five, Trey Burke drove baseline and committed a cardinal sin of basketball, leaving his feet with no idea of what to do next. Burke tried to pass the ball back to the top of the key to Hardaway, but William Buford read him perfectly. Buford made the easy steal, and from there the only question was what type of dunk he would do on the other end. He finished with a one-handed slam, bringing the Ohio State crowd to its feet and forcing John Beilein to call a timeout to try to tame the Buckeye run. Following the timeout, Jordan Morgan missed a layup and Sullinger grabbed the board. On the other end, Aaron Craft drove past Burke off a screen from Sullinger. Morgan tried to pick Craft up in the lane but was well out of position. Craft layed in the nice left-handed layup and drew the soft foul on Morgan, who never had a chance of stopping Craft because he was so far out of position. The foul was Morgan’s fourth, sending him to the bench along with Michigan’s dwindling chances of a comeback as Ohio State now led 42-33 and had gained all the momentum. Missed layups, careless turnovers and defensive breakdowns are a bad sign at home but they are crippling on the road where every possession has even more importance.

3. Michigan holds the Buckeyes scoreless for over five minutes but can’t take advantage offensively

With Morgan, Smotrycz and Novak all on the bench in foul trouble midway through the second half, Colton Christian, Blake McLimans and Matt Vogrich were called upon to provide a spark off the bench. Defensively, they did a superb job, playing a huge role in holding the Buckeyes scoreless over more than a five-minute span. It was much like the Arkansas game last week, where Michigan held the Razorbacks scoreless for five minutes in the second half but failed to convert offensively. Much like the Arkansas game, the Wolverines failed to really make anything happen on the offensive end despite strong defensive play. During this stretch, Douglass missed a layup and then committed a turnover, as he ran out of room and the baseline and his pass sailed out of bounds. Christian tried to get into the action offensively, but couldn’t convert on two layup opportunities. Hardaway, probably feeling the pressure to take over with three of his fellow starters on the bench, launched a deep, contested three that clanged off the backboard and into the hands of the Buckeyes. With Vogrich, McLimans and Christian on the floor together, the Wolverines just didn’t have enough offensive firepower to put together a legitimate offensive run midway through the second half. Realistically, the problem wasn’t that the Wolverines couldn’t get good looks. The problem was that some of their best offensive weapons were sitting on the bench watching.

4. Douglass’s 3-pointer rolls out, leads to five-point swing late

Even after giving up a 14-2 second half run and failing to take advantage of a Buckeye drought, Michigan was still down only seven with just over five minutes to play. When Burke found an open Douglass in the corner for three, the Wolverines had a golden opportunity to make it just a two-possession game. The shot looked good as it came off Douglass’s hands, but the ball rimmed in and out. Morgan came down with the offensive board, breathing life back into the possession. But instead of going back up strong, Morgan held the ball around his waist as he tried to battle for position, and Craft simply ripped it right out of his hands. On the other end, Craft found Deshaun Thomas in the post, who converted an easy layup as Morgan basically backed out of the way in order not to draw his fifth foul. Instead of a four or five-point deficit if Douglass’s three had dropped or Morgan was successful on the put back, the Buckeyes lead was back up to nine. With 4:59 to play, it was a brutal five-point swing that all but broke Michigan’s back.

5. Wolverines can’t convert on three chances inside and Sullinger delivers the dagger

If key play four wasn’t the dagger for Michigan, this one was. Following Thomas’s layup, Michigan had three chances at a bucket but somehow came up empty yet again. First, Novak found Burke at the block, who was too strong on a layup attempt with his childhood friend Sullinger in his face. Morgan grabbed the offensive board and couldn’t convert either, but Novak then kept the play alive with an offensive board of his own. Novak, who had struggled all day offensively, tried to put the rebound back up and in, but Sullinger had other thoughts. He stuffed Novak and the ball finally ended up in the hands of Craft, who took off toward the other end. Sullinger trailed not too far behind, and in a four-on-three situation, Craft dished it to Sullinger, who received the ball at the left elbow. Somehow, the Michigan defenders completely forgot about Sullinger and were all on the right side of the court. Sullinger coasted untouched to the bucket and finished with a monstrous one-handed slam. Ohio State was then up 54-43 with 4:27 to go, and this one was over.

  • the star

    great analysis, bill!

    • TMURDA

      Yeah, what the hell. Is Kevin related to Bill?

      • http://twitter.com/kevinraftery Kevin Raftery

        Haha I like to say that I am, but as far as I know I’m not. I did meet him one time though. Nice guy.

  • rlcBlue

    Watching #3 confirmed what I was thinking during the game; when McLimans set ball screens for Burke the Bucknuts just ignored him and double-teamed Burke. McLimans wasn’t rolling to the hoop, he was popping out to the three point line. I don’t know why Burke wasn’t giving him the ball – maybe he doesn’t trust McLimans any more than we do – but at that point I think he needed to do it. We were down by a bunch, not getting any open looks, and they were leaving a three point shooter all alone. It wasn’t much of a chance, but it may have been our best one.

    • ChathaM

      Great point, and I didn’t notice that during the game. I wonder if the lack of recognition was due to Burke simply not being used to running that with McLimans in game situations. They all know that McLimans can hit the 3, but it appeared that Burke was no more prepared for it than OSU.

  • Quaint06

    One can only guess, but I think a lot of finishing problems in #3 will be fixed by McGary and Robinson next year, and maybe Stauskas, up to a point–with improvements from the already-good Burke and Hardaway.

  • catwomanrx

    Does anyone else think Craft looks like PeeWee Herman??

  • Michigan4

    A little update on a few of our commits, Glenn Robinson III had 16 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists in a 70-48 win over, Zach Novak’s alma mater, Chesterton. (Target) Tyler Wideman had 12 points and 6 boards.

    Zak Irvin had a great game for Hamilton Southeastern, as they beat McCutcheon 79-33 (without Gary Harris I might add).  Irvin finished with 15 points and 11 rebounds.

    • Michigan4

      Also meant to add in that Mitch McGary had 12 points and 12 rebounds in Brewster’s  106-82 win over South Kent.  Brewster improved to 19-0 on the season and had 5 different players score in double figures.  While McGary’s overall ranking might drop a little, I would not worry too much.  His team is loaded with high-major talent and the only real opportunities he has to score are from offensive rebounds.  Feeding the ball to the post is almost like a last option for Brewster.

  • wolverine_longhorn

    Would’ve been cool to add the video of the buckeye diver succumbing to the air-elbow as one of the key plays.  Just for giggles, as that was one of the funniest dives I’ve ever seen.

  • Wayman Britt

    Ouch, not fun to watch these.  Really disappointed in Smot and Hardaway’s rebounding. 

    What happen to all that talk earlier in the season about Smot being a real good rebounder.  I don’t understand how a guy can just becomes soft.

  • jemblue

    At this point, is it a safe assumption that Horford will redshirt, or is Beilein still considering putting him out there?  

    I feel like it still might make some sense to play him this season – if he can go at close to 100%.  We still have half the conference season, plus the BTT, plus the postseason.  If he could return now he could still get in 20+ games this season.  

    • http://twitter.com/kevinraftery Kevin Raftery

      Beilein still claims that it’s possible Horford will play this season, but he never wants to give out too much information when asked about it. For the last couple weeks, his answer has remained the same: we’re keeping all options open. If he can get back to close to 100 % in the near future, he’ll play, if not, he’ll redshirt. Last week, Beilein didn’t sound too confident about Horford’s chances though.

      Beilein has a press conference tomorrow, so there’s a good chance we’ll know more then.

  • Joel_C

    Play #2 – really?? That was a foul on Morgan, really?

  • Mattski

    This might be the first time that the highlights consist of no real highlights from the good guys.

    This loss had me a little down, because it’s hard to keep fantasizing that we are the class of the conference, and the cumulative effect of the stats makes where you really are all TOO clear sometimes. 

    Still, these guys are capable of inspired bball, and Beilein is a glass-half-full kinda guy, at least according to the piece in this morning’s DetNews. We were 3-6 last year this time, he points out: 

    http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20120130/SPORTS0201/201300406/1131/sports0201/John-Beilein-likes-look-Michigan-headed-into-second-half 

    If several guys can locate their 3-point shot. . . the scrappy D isn’t going anywhere. 

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