Numbers

A few statistical bullet points that can hopefully muster up some discussion as well as an update on Eric Puls.

  • Michigan’s guards (Morris, Douglass, Lucas-Perry, and Vogrich) have made just 17 of their measly 51 two point attempts this year. That’s 33% compared to the 32% that they’ve shot on their 81 three point attempts.
  • Michigan’s 74.6% defensive rebounding percentage against Kansas was their 2nd best of the year, only the NMU game was better. Hopefully this is a trend and not a flash in the pan.
  • The 58.3% eFG% that they allowed Kansas to shoot was just as bad, the second worst field goal defensive performance only to Marquette’s 58.5% eFG.
  • Kansas shot an astronomical number of free throws, with a free throw rate above 50%. Oklahoma and Ohio State were the only teams to post a free throw rate that high versus Michigan last year.
  • Kansas’ defense stifled Michigan’s offense to a meager .934 points per possession.
  • If it wasn’t clear, three point shooting is painfully important for this offense. Last year, Michigan was 13-5 when they shot over 33% from three point range and only 7-9 under that mark. This year, a similar trend follows, Michigan is 4-0 over the 33% mark and 1-5 under.
  • In John Beilein’s tenure, Michigan has beaten just three major conference teams when Michigan shoots under 30% from long range: UCLA (55-52), Northwestern (70-67 OT), and Illinois (49-43).
  • DeShawn Sims (28.7%) and Manny Harris (29.1%) take 57.1% of Michigan’s shots when they are on the floor.
  • While Darius Morris’ assist rate of 18% nearly matches Stu Douglass’ 18.6% (neither are close to Harris’ 33%), he has been extremely careless with the basketball, posting a turnover rate of 32.7 which ranks last among Big Ten players. For comparison’s sake, Stu Douglass ranks near the top of the conference with a meager 11.1% turnover percentage.
  • Finally, according to tweets from Mike Rothstein and Tim from MGoBlog, Eric Puls is leaving the Michigan basketball program to focus on his engineering degree.
  • blueinflorida

    just my opinion: DeShawn Sims is killing Michigan with his outside shots. He is the only scoring threat we have in the paint. The last think we need is another player taking (and missing) 3 point shots. When he took the ball to the rim he had good success against Kansas. Michigan needs balance on offense and Sims is the only one who can provide it. He’s gotta stay down low imo.

  • http://www.umhoops.com Dylan

    Only Laval Lucas-Perry and Matt Vogrich are shooting a higher percentage on three point shots than DeShawn. For what it’s worth…

  • blueinflorida

    Dylan that may be true—but don’t you agree we HAVE to have a threat inside the paint. Bilas on saturday made a comment about how Michigan only scores if they make outside shots. So true. We never get anything easy inside. Part of that is size but part of that is the center jacking 3’s with everyone else.

  • http://www.umhoops.com Dylan

    DeShawn needs to play inside-out. Start in the post, get his game going, stretch his bigger defender (like Aldrich) to the perimeter by shooting the jumper then drive past him.

  • Jeff

    I don’t really agree about Sims. He hurt the team in their first four losses by not really showing up, but the last two games he’s played really well. I don’t have a problem with him taking threes while he’s making 35%, which on this team is fantastic, as long as he continues to go inside. It creates quite a dilemna for the defense. I hope that he will continue his play from the last two games because I believe he is the key player on this team.

  • JimC

    Comparing Stu and Morris on the year…
    They’re about equal in minutes, and in assists.

    Stu has fewer turnovers, but unfortunately for the year he’s also shooting with nearly Ant Wright accuracy.

    But they both seem to be playing better lately.
    Hope the trend continues.

  • BJ

    Good luck to EPuls in the demanding CoE

  • AG2

    Good Luck Puls. CoE is not kind to one’s GPA. Trust me, I know. Watching tonight’s Oklahoma/UTEP game I have to say: Oklahoma looks A LOT like Michigan: weak defense, questionable shot selection. The difference is that OU has 3 McDonalds All Americans. So what’s their excuse?

  • Giddings

    From Jay Bilas:

    Team That Most Needs a Quality Win: Michigan
    I am shocked that the Wolverines are only 5-5 and without a single quality win. The best win the Wolverines can claim is the overtime victory over Creighton, and the Wolverines do not have a single win over a team ranked in the Top 100. Michigan is complaining about missing shots, which is clearly happening, but a bigger problem is defense. The best six teams that Michigan has played this season are shooting more than 50 percent against the Wolverine defense. There is still plenty of time to fix things, and Michigan has plenty of talent to make the NCAA tournament, but no good team needs a quality win more than Michigan does. And the most important game on Michigan’s schedule is Dec. 31 at Indiana.

  • JB

    we need to take care of coppin state. i completely agree that at Indiana is our biggest game of the year. we couldn’t ask for a better opportunity against a ranked team than osu minus turner at home. we need to take it one game at a time and turn our season around immediately.

  • AG2

    Agreed. @ Indiana and home vs. OSU are MUST MUST MUST wins. We need at least 11 Big Ten wins.

    Indiana is actually a decent shooting team, but they’re turnover prone. Hopefully that will help.

  • TrueBlueinTexas

    Thanks for the quick hits on the team stats as we close out the non-conference schedule. Sadly it does not take stats to understand what is wrong with this team, and no, it is not the poor shooting – the poor shooting is a symptom of the following two causes: 1) On average, Mich gives up a few inches at almost every position. It is painfully obvious there is just not enough height to match up with D1 programs…which leads to number 2) On average, Mich is less athletic at every position (D. Morris is the exception) If you are not taller and you are not more athletic than your opponent at every position it is almost impossible to find any consistency. This is the reason Zach & Stu are not confident in their shots, this is the reason Peedi is not confident in the post. This issue is not only obvious in the losses to Kansas, Marquette, Utah, Alabama, and BC, it can be seen in the wins against the lesser opponents as well. Unfortunately, this can only be addressed through recruiting…the good news…Beilein is doing just that. Morris, Morgan, Akunne, Hardaway Jr, Smotrycz (and hopefully Zeigler) all add height and/or athleticism.

  • Brad

    i dont think athleticism can necessarily explain shooting problems…true, it helps many other aspects tremendously, but how can last years success be explained then with an even less athletically gifted team?

  • TrueBlueinTexas

    Grady, Lee, and Merritt offered more athleticism than does Stu (who has predominately filled their minutes). This issue of athleticism manifests iteself in three key phases of the game. Defense, rebounding, and beating your man off the dribble. At this point, due to a lack of athleticism or lack of size, Manny and Darius are the only consistent threat to beat their man off the dribble. And Darius is not developed enough to know what to do yet once he has beaten his man off the dribble. Sometimes Peedi and LLP can, but it is only when they feel they truly have an advantage. There are many examples of this all season, but one in particular was LLP’s blocked layup against KU. He had beaten his man, but fearing the blocked shot he picked up his dribble at the free throw line in an effort to get to the rim quicker. This actaully gave the longer and more athletic KU D a chance to rotate over and block his shot from behind because LLP felt he had to commit to the layup instead of leaving the pass open as an option and forcing the D to remain on their man. Many of Zach and Stu’s 3’s have been off because they are rushing their shot. You rush your shot when you fear the D closing on you. Rushing your shot leads to a poorer percentage and fear of having your shot blocked will also lead to poor shot selection.

  • dave

    every game from here on out is extremely important

  • Ken in Las Vegas

    Did you see Udoh’s stat line last night? 22 pts, 16 rebounds, 9 blocks, and 3 steals. Damn. 9 blocks? Man, we could really use his defense and inside presence right now. Baylor is 9-1, so I guess he isn’t regretting his decision anytime soon.

  • Brad

    good explanation trueblue, i agree with that

  • Sam

    Not to mention Udoh is now projected to go 26th in the NBA Draft next year. I don’t know how many times I’ve said he was my favorite player here. I just can’t imagine what this team could be with him still here. Like David Merritt said though, maybe he did make the right decision.

  • Jay

    Ken ive been saying that the last two seasons, and getting killed on this board at the mention of Udoh’s name. Not only is he scoring (somehow) but his defensive presence is sorely missed. Udoh in the 1-3-1 I can only imagine how much he could make up for some of our lackluster defenders.

  • Dirtgrain

    I don’t know what else Beilein could have done to make Udoh stay.

  • Sam

    Yeah, we can’t blame Beilein for not being able to keep him. Ekpe wanted to move to a team where he could better showcase his “NBA skills” and have a more open court probably rather than a set offense that favors three point shooters. While we all thought he was crazy to think he had a shot at being drafted if he transferred, he has clearly proven many of us wrong and probably greatly benefited from the different offense, not to mention his AAU coach on staff at Baylor.

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